Wednesday 4 Nov: $80,504 (+3.89%)
Thursday 5 Nov: $76,044 (-5.54%)
Friday 6 Nov: $75,874 (-0.22%)
Saturday 7 Nov: $75,974 (+0.13%)
Sunday 8 Nov: $74,728 (-1.64%)
Monday 9 Nov: $75,333 (+0.81%)
Tuesday 10 Nov: about $73,600 (about -2.3%)
ETF flows
What it means
BTC closed at about $75,333 on 10 November, down about 2.8% from about $77,488 on 3 November.
BTC hit $81,004 on 4 November, then lost 5.54% on 5 November in an AI and chip stock sell-off. That was the worst day of the window.
Hot jobs and inflation data pushed December rate-hike odds to about 85%. BTC touched about $72,787, its lowest since August.
US spot BTC ETFs lost about $1.06B, with four straight days of outflows. IBIT has seen seven straight days of redemptions.
Strategy bought 1,036 BTC and now holds 850,364 BTC. MARA sold 13,597 BTC over six weeks.

Bitcoin hit $81,004 on 4 November. Six days later it was trading under $73,000.
BTC closed at about $77,488 on 3 November and ended 10 November at about $73,600, down about 5.0%. The post-election rally lasted ONE day. An AI and chip stock sell-off on 5 November took it all back, and BTC dropped 5.54%, its worst day of the window. Then came a hot jobs report on 6 November and hot inflation data on 10 November. Both pushed up bets on a December Fed rate hike. BTC fell to about $72,787 on 10 November, its lowest since August, and closed just above $73,500. US spot BTC ETFs lost about $1.06B, with four straight days of outflows. Strategy bought 1,036 BTC. Miner MARA said it had sold 13,597.
Prices are UTC day closes from Coinranking. The 10 November close is approximate. The 3 November close, approximate in the last recap at $77,370, is now confirmed at $77,488.
The best day of the window. BTC broke above $80,000 the day after the US midterm elections and hit $81,004 (CoinGecko). Shorts got squeezed hard: about $378M of short positions were liquidated in one hour (CryptoTicker).
ETFs: +$74.57M, ending three days of outflows. FBTC took in $236.72M, ARKB $19.90M, BITB $15.21M and BTCO $3.98M. IBIT was the only fund losing money, at -$201.24M.
The worst day of the window. And it started in the stock market. Investors dumped AI and chip names. The Nasdaq 100 fell 6.4%, its worst session since March 2020, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped 12%. BTC went from about $80,882 to below $76,000. More than $1B of crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours, mostly longs (CoinGlass via CoinDesk).
Trump Media also moved 4,259 BTC to Crypto.com (CryptoTicker).
ETFs: -$430.2M (SoSoValue via KuCoin).
The October jobs report came in HOT. 165,000 new jobs, nearly 3 TIMES the 59,000 expected. Unemployment fell to 4.1%. CME FedWatch odds of a December rate hike jumped to about 79%, from about 70% (Bitcoin Magazine). BTC stayed stuck between about $75,240 and $76,280.
ETFs: -$411.92M. IBIT lost $403M on its own. BITB -$20.55M, ARKB -$20.09M, GBTC -$11.11M. FBTC was the only inflow at +$42.82M.
The Crypto Fear and Greed Index dropped to 25. Extreme fear (CryptoTicker).
No ETF flows over the weekend.
BTC slipped under $75,000.
Strategy kept buying. It added 1,036 BTC for $81.9M at an average of $79,012 between 2 and 8 November, and now holds 850,364 BTC at an average cost of $75,456. That means BTC closed the day BELOW Strategy’s average cost. It also bought back $188.3M of STRC, paid for by selling MSTR shares (SEC 8-K).
Stocks jumped. The S&P 500 had its best day since April. BTC didn’t follow (CoinDesk).
ETFs: -$201.08M (IBIT -$213.23M, ARKB -$9.91M, MSBT +$22.06M). That’s seven straight days of redemptions for IBIT.
October CPI rose 0.4% against 0.3% expected. Core rose 0.3% against 0.2%. Prediction-market odds of a December hike climbed to about 85% (Bitcoin.com News). BTC fell to about $72,787 on Bitstamp, its lowest since August (Forbes), and finished the day near $73,600.
MARA said it had sold 13,597 BTC for about $1.1B over six weeks. And it plans to sell more (CoinDesk).
About $632M of crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours, $169M of that in BTC (CoinGlass via Bitcoin.com News).
ETFs: -$95.00M (IBIT -$78.24M, MSBT +$20.03M). Fourth straight day of outflows (SoSoValue via PANews).
4 to 10 November: about -$1.06B. Cumulative net inflows are down to about $55.40B. Net assets sit at about $92.82B, or 6.26% of BTC’s market cap (SoSoValue, 10 Nov). And spot BTC ETFs are now NEGATIVE for 2026 (CoinDesk). Each of the last two years brought in more than $20B.
So what broke BTC this week? Macro. AI stocks cracked, jobs and inflation both ran hot, and markets now price in a Fed HIKE in December. ETF money kept leaving the whole time. BTC still held $73,000 on a closing basis.
Support is $73,000 to $73,200, where the 200-day average sits, then about $69,000. Resistance is about $78,000, then $80,000 to $81,000 (21Shares, Bitget via The Block).
Watch the MSCI index review on 11 November, where Strategy is a candidate for removal. Then the Fed minutes on 18 November, PCE inflation on 25 November and the Fed decision on 9 December. If ETF outflows keep running at this pace, expect another test of $73,000 before the Fed meets.
Data and sources: Prices from Coinranking and CoinGecko; ETF flows from SoSoValue via TokenPost, KuCoin and PANews, plus Farside via CoinDesk; Strategy from its SEC 8-K; macro data from Bitcoin Magazine, The Block and Bitcoin.com News; market news from CoinDesk, Forbes and CryptoTicker; liquidations from CoinGlass.
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